Climate Impacts
The last 5 years have been hard on West Coast salmon and steelhead. Climate change and related impacts continue to degrade fish habitats, reducing summer flows and warming water temperatures. South-central California experienced a record-breaking drought from 2012 through 2017. The most recent extended drought in south-central California has resulted in prolonged closure of river mouths. This resulted in fewer opportunities for steelhead to enter coastal watersheds and reach upstream spawning and rearing habitat. While recent rains have temporarily alleviated some impacts, projected prolonged droughts pose an ongoing threat to steelhead populations of the south-central California coast.
A series of marine heatwaves have also reduced steelhead ocean survival and growth in the North Pacific Ocean. They increase algal and diatom blooms that can affect the productivity of steelhead prey or shift the species to less suitable prey. For the California Current region, sea surface temperatures reached record high levels from 2014 to 2016; 2015 was the single warmest year in the historical record. Increasing ocean acidification and projected changes in coastal upwelling may undermine the growth and maturation of steelhead in the ocean. It could also reduce the size and condition of steelhead returning to their freshwater habitats to reproduce. This has resulted in the re-distribution of some pelagic marine species. The increase in Northern anchovy was particularly strong in central and southern California, where it serves as high quality prey for many species, including salmon and steelhead.
Extinction Risks
Some of the south-central steelhead populations are among the most threatened steelhead on the West Coast. According to the viability assessment completed by NOAA Fisheries’ Southwest Fisheries Science Center, many of these populations, particularly in the Interior Coast Range and San Luis Obispo Coast Terrace, face a high risk of extinction. Current trends for this species in larger watersheds remain of particular concern. The persistence of the populations over the challenging conditions of the last 5 years is a testament to their resiliency. However, climate change poses a systemic, long-term threat that will require ambitious conservation action to prevent further decline and ultimately promote the recovery of the species.